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India’s Subterfuge Abroad

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In an internationally themed state-sanctioned violence and a transnational killing shadow operation, India faces scrutiny over extra-judicial and extra-jurisdictional conduct. The incident of the plot to kill Sikh separatist leader Gurpatwant Singh Pannun in New York City has also brought to the fore the unlawful operations of the Indian government in an extraterritorial and extra-judicial conduct outside its territory similar to the murder of Hardeep Singh Nijjar in Canada.

A prominent activist of the Khalistan movement escaped a hit by Indian officials on his life. This sinister plot was exposed when Nikhil Gupta backed by Indian RAW.

Gurpatwant Singh Pannun, a man possessing dual citizenship of USA and Canada, a prominent activist of the Khalistan movement escaped a hit by Indian officials on his life. This sinister plot was exposed when Nikhil Gupta an Indian national was extradited from the Czech Republic to face charges in the United States. Gupta was charged with conspiring with Indian intelligence services to assassinate Pannun, where he offered $100,000 to a cooperative federal agent imaginary as a hitman.

The United States has been very clear and decisive in opposing assassination plots that were planned by India pointing to the fact that such acts are unlawful and inexcusable. This information is of paramount importance because the US State Department, through their spokesperson Matthew Miller affirmed that they have taken these allegations very seriously and so they expect India to investigate the allegations transparently. This issue has already been taken to the appropriate authorities in India through the White House, stressing that it is unacceptable to have people’s lives endangered in America. A Republican US congressman has joined the Democrats in moving the Secretary of State Antony Blinken to further demand accountability. US Attorney Damian Williams who is prosecuting Nikhil Gupta has vowed to pursue justice to the highest level, as the US reiterated its stand that it would not allow such acts of aggression and infringement of sovereignty and international laws.

Tried in a Manhattan federal courtroom the case against Nikhil Gupta was similar was as much high-profile. Gupta has denied any wrongdoings and currently is detained, To a degree, this is paradoxical since one cannot overemphasize the severity of the charges: conspiring to murder a US resident in the United States of America. According to the declaration of the US Attorney Damian Williams, “Nobody will be allowed to attempt to murder US citizens on US soil.”

US State Department Spokesperson Matthew Miller once again, stressed that these charges are being treated rather solemnly in the US.” We hope India does, too” Miller stressed, pointing to the belief that India should approach the issue seriously by conducting a comprehensible investigation. The Indian Ministry of External Affairs has slammed the charges of torture as ‘unwarranted and unsubstantiated’; however, the international community remains unconvinced having an apprehensive view in light of the history of Nijjar’s case.

A vocal proponent of the Khalistan movement, Hardeep Singh Nijjar, was killed in Canada in a gruesome manner, a kill that Canadian PM Trudeau connected to Indian secret agents.

A vocal proponent of the Khalistan movement, Hardeep Singh Nijjar, a prominent speaker for the movement was killed in Canada in a gruesome manner, a kill that Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau connected to Indian secret agents. Its truth was vehemently denied by New Delhi Nevertheless, the said claim has worsened relations between India and Canada as well as compromised India’s reputation on the international stage.

The assassination of Sikh separatists in foreign nations is unlawful as well as a symbol of great risk to the increasing savageness of Indian state institutions in suppressing dissent. It is pertinent to remember that the United Nations Charter or other several human rights conventions disparage any such extrajudicial measures. The International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR) to which India is a party requires that life be protected and that nobody’s life be taken arbitrarily. Any activity that is against these principles is likely to diminish the structures of international law and order.

The implications of these revelations have a direct connection to the legal processes that will be taken against the culprits. They concern state sovereignty, extension of protective measures of the domestic nations’ security, and ethical considerations when conducting espionage. In a world that requires the principle of the rule of law to be strictly observed and applied, these events indeed signify potential threats that may ensue from abuses of state power.

The implications of these revelations have a direct connection to state sovereignty, security, and ethical considerations when conducting espionage

The movement for a fundamental Sikh state in the Punjab area of India has its base in the middle of the 20th century with an escalation in the 1970s and 1980s. The movement aims at establishing an independent country, Khalistan for the Sikhs as they are the overly oppressed religious minority in India. While the internal situation has limited the movement and caused its supporters to be suppressed, the movement efficaciously continues its activity among the Sikh population in foreign countries such as Canada, the United States, Great Britain, and Australia. Although the Indian administration regards the Khalistan movement as a terrorist organization and banned the group, Khalistan’s demand for independence complies with the principles of International Human Rights law. The UN frames the struggle as being based on the right of self-determination, provided in the UN Charter, thus posing a counter-discourse to the domineering Indian state’s narrative.

The people across the world are now observing that India has some concerns about explaining this issue transparently and fairly – and everyone prefers justice. That is what is necessary for international relations and human rights to be distinguished and protected.

The integrity of international relations and the protection of human rights demands nothing less. ‘It is said that it is dangerous to be right when authority is wrong’ Speaking of Voltaire; it is imperative to press for the truth in these episodes to uphold our world order.

Strengthening Azerbaijan-Pakistan Cooperation

The recent two-day visit of the President of Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev, to Pakistan marks a significant milestone in the bilateral relations between the two countries.

The recent two-day visit of the President of Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev, to Pakistan marks a significant milestone in the bilateral relations between the two countries. Highlighting a shared determination to transform their mutual political relations into a robust economic partnership, both nations have taken substantial steps towards this goal. During the visit, a total of 15 Memoranda of Understanding (MoUs) were signed, encompassing a wide range of areas such as transit trade, preferential trade, technology and science, tourism, air service, mineral reserves, cultural exchange, and information fields.

President Aliyev’s visit underscored the harmony and warmth inherent in Pakistan-Azerbaijani relations. This was evident at every stage of his visit, from the warm welcome he received to the mutual support both countries exhibit on critical international issues. Pakistan’s principled stance on the Kashmir issue received solid backing from Azerbaijan, just as Islamabad has consistently supported Baku on the Karabakh conflict.

In their speeches at the official reception ceremony, both President Ilham Aliyev and Prime Minister Shahbaz Sharif acknowledged the mutual respect and unity that characterize their bilateral and international affairs. Prime Minister Sharif described Azerbaijan as Pakistan’s “best friend and real brother,” emphasizing that the current trade volume of $100 million does not fully reflect the depth of their friendship.

President Aliyev expressed his country’s intention to invest $2 billion in various areas of mutual interest, indicating a strong commitment to bolstering economic ties.

The statements made by the two leaders highlight a shared vision for increased cooperation across multiple sectors. This vision is set to be further realized during Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s upcoming visit to Azerbaijan in November. The current visit of President Aliyev is expected to enhance cooperation in various fields, including the defense industry, and amplify the united voices of both nations on global forums.

The transformation of political relations into an economic partnership is a strategic move that holds substantial promise for both nations. By focusing on transit trade and preferential trade agreements, Pakistan and Azerbaijan can significantly boost their economic activities. The MoUs signed in these areas are likely to facilitate smoother trade flows, reduce tariffs, and create a more favorable business environment for enterprises from both countries.

In the field of technology and science, collaboration can lead to significant advancements. Both nations have unique strengths that can complement each other, leading to innovations and developments that can benefit their economies and societies. The exchange of knowledge and expertise will likely result in the establishment of joint ventures and research projects, further solidifying the partnership.

Tourism is another sector where both countries see immense potential. By enhancing air service links and promoting each other’s tourist attractions, Azerbaijan and Pakistan can increase tourist inflows, thus boosting their economies.

Cultural exchanges will also play a vital role in deepening mutual understanding and appreciation of each other’s heritage, fostering stronger people-to-people connections.

The emphasis on exploring and utilizing mineral reserves is a forward-thinking approach that can bring significant economic benefits. Collaborative efforts in this area can lead to the discovery and efficient extraction of valuable resources, contributing to the economic prosperity of both nations. Moreover, the focus on the defense industry signifies a strategic alliance that can enhance the security and defense capabilities of both countries, making them more resilient to regional threats.

The deepening of Azerbaijan-Pakistan cooperation has broader implications for the region. Strengthening economic ties and strategic partnerships between these two nations can contribute to regional stability and prosperity. As both countries play pivotal roles in their respective regions, their collaboration can serve as a model for other nations seeking to enhance bilateral relations.

The investment of $2 billion by Azerbaijan in Pakistan can lead to significant economic growth, creating job opportunities and fostering economic development. This investment is likely to attract further foreign investment, as it signals a stable and conducive business environment. The focus on technological collaboration and scientific research can position both countries as leaders in innovation within the region.

Furthermore, the unity displayed on international platforms by Pakistan and Azerbaijan can amplify their influence in global affairs. Their common stance on issues such as the Kashmir and Karabakh conflicts demonstrates a commitment to supporting each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.

This united front can garner greater international attention and support for their causes, leading to more effective resolutions of these long-standing issues.

Eventually, the visit of President Ilham Aliyev to Pakistan opened new avenues for collaboration and mutual growth. The agreements and understandings reached during this visit are poised to strengthen the economic partnership between Islamabad and Baku, laying a solid foundation for future progress. The mutual respect and shared interests that define Azerbaijan-Pakistan relations will continue to drive their cooperation forward, bringing tangible benefits to both nations and contributing to regional stability and prosperity.

As both countries look towards a future of increased collaboration, it is evident that the groundwork laid during this visit will lead to a stronger, more resilient partnership. The shared vision of economic growth, technological advancement, and strategic cooperation will not only benefit Azerbaijan and Pakistan but also set a precedent for other nations in the region. The journey ahead promises to be one of mutual success and shared prosperity, marking a new chapter in Azerbaijan-Pakistan relations.

Gunfire at Trump Rally

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In a shocking and unprecedented turn of events, US Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump was injured by gunfire during an election rally.

In a shocking and unprecedented turn of events, US Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump was injured by gunfire during an election rally. The incident, which took place while Trump was addressing a large and enthusiastic crowd, has sent ripples across the political landscape both domestically and internationally.

The rally, held in a crucial swing state, was abruptly terminated when gunfire erupted only five minutes after Trump took the stage. Eyewitnesses reported hearing between 8 to 10 gunshots, causing immediate panic and chaos among the attendees. Despite the severity of the situation, Trump remarkably continued his address for a brief period before the event was called off, demonstrating his characteristic resilience.

Medical teams quickly attended to Trump, who was visibly injured with blood marks on his head and ear. After a thorough examination at a nearby hospital, Trump was discharged. In a statement following the incident, he revealed, “I was shot in the upper part of the right ear.”

The quick medical response and Trump’s rapid discharge have underscored the gravity yet manageability of his injuries.

The security response was swift, resulting in the death of the primary attacker responsible for the gunfire. Another individual was also killed during the confrontation, and a suspect has been arrested in connection with the attack. Authorities have confirmed that there were two possible attackers, both of whom were shot by security forces. One of the attackers remains in critical condition. Both assailants were identified as snipers positioned several hundred yards away from the rally venue. The weapon used in the attack, a rifle, has been recovered by the authorities, and investigations are ongoing to uncover the motives behind this brazen act of violence.

This incident has had an immediate impact on the American election landscape. Donald Trump, a leading figure in the Republican race, has always been a polarizing character, and this attack has only heightened the political tension. His supporters have rallied around him, viewing the incident as a direct attack on their political ideology and on Trump’s vision for America.

On the other hand, his critics argue that this incident underscores the deep-seated divisions and rising violence in the political arena.

In the short term, this attack is likely to bolster Trump’s position as a winning candidate. His ability to continue addressing the crowd despite his injuries is being hailed by his supporters as a testament to his toughness and commitment. This narrative of resilience may strengthen his appeal among undecided voters who view him as a strong leader capable of facing adversity head-on.

Moreover, this incident has significant implications for the security protocols surrounding political events. The attack has exposed vulnerabilities and has led to urgent calls for increased security measures to protect candidates and attendees at such events. Future rallies are expected to see heightened security, with more rigorous screening processes and strategic planning to prevent similar occurrences.

The impact of this incident extends beyond the borders of the United States. Internationally, Trump is a well-known figure whose policies and rhetoric have had a global impact. This attack has drawn widespread attention and concern from world leaders and international bodies. Many have condemned the violence and expressed solidarity with Trump and the American political process.

The incident has also sparked debates about the influence of American politics on global security and the potential for political violence to spill over into other regions.

Countries with close ties to the United States are particularly attentive to the developments. Allies are concerned about the stability of American leadership and its implications for international alliances and agreements. Adversaries, on the other hand, may perceive this as an opportunity to exploit perceived weaknesses or divisions within the United States.

Finally, the shooting incident involving Donald Trump during an election rally is a significant event with far-reaching consequences. Domestically, it has intensified the political climate and could potentially influence the outcome of the election by galvanizing Trump’s supporters and swaying undecided voters. Internationally, it has highlighted the interconnected nature of global politics and the importance of stable and secure democratic processes. As investigations continue and security measures are ramped up, the world watches closely, recognizing that the reverberations of this attack will be felt far and wide.

NATO Seeks to Build Ties with Asian Partners to Counter China

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In a strategic move to counter China's growing influence, NATO is looking to build stronger relationships with its Asian partners.

In a strategic move to counter China’s growing influence, NATO is looking to build stronger relationships with its Asian partners. This development was highlighted at the end of a pivotal summit held in Washington, where NATO leaders underscored the importance of bolstering these ties amidst rising geopolitical tensions. As the global power landscape shifts, this move by NATO is likely to have significant economic, political, and security implications on the international stage.

During the summit, NATO leaders openly criticized China, designating it as a “decisive facilitator” of Russia’s ongoing war efforts. This criticism was formally encapsulated in a NATO declaration, which asserted that Beijing has played a crucial role in supporting Russia’s military actions against Ukraine. By highlighting China’s role in the conflict, NATO aims to build a coalition that can effectively counteract China’s growing influence and its alignment with Russia.

In response to NATO’s accusations, a spokesperson for the Beijing Mission to the EU urged NATO to cease its rhetoric about the so-called “China threat.” The spokesperson argued that NATO’s actions are only serving to stoke confrontation and antagonism, rather than fostering cooperation and understanding.

The Chinese representative emphasized that the global community should focus on collaborative efforts to ensure peace and stability, rather than engaging in blame games.

The evolving dynamics between NATO, China, and Asian partners will have profound economic implications. By strengthening ties with Asian countries, NATO could influence trade policies, investment flows, and economic partnerships. For instance, increased cooperation between NATO and Asian economies such as Japan, South Korea, and India could lead to more robust economic ties and potentially counter China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). China’s BRI has been a cornerstone of its strategy to expand its influence through infrastructure investments across Asia, Africa, and Europe. By building closer ties with Asian partners, NATO could offer an alternative to China’s BRI, promoting investment from Western nations and creating new economic opportunities. This could lead to a rebalancing of economic power in the region, as countries may have more options for infrastructure development and investment.

Politically, NATO’s move to deepen relationships with Asian partners signals a shift in the global geopolitical landscape. This strategy could lead to a more cohesive bloc of countries that share common interests in countering China’s influence. Countries like Japan and South Korea, which already have strong ties with the West, could play pivotal roles in this new alignment. Furthermore, the move could encourage other nations in the region to reassess their foreign policies. Countries in Southeast Asia, which have historically balanced their relationships between major powers, might find themselves aligning more closely with NATO and its Asian partners.

This realignment could result in a more unified stance on issues such as maritime security in the South China Sea and responses to China’s territorial claims.

From a security perspective, closer ties between NATO and Asian partners could lead to increased military cooperation and joint exercises. This would enhance the collective defense capabilities of these countries and serve as a deterrent to potential aggressions. The increased presence of NATO in Asia could also provide a counterbalance to China’s growing military power, particularly in the Indo-Pacific region. For instance, joint military exercises and intelligence sharing between NATO and Asian partners could improve the readiness and interoperability of their armed forces. This would not only strengthen the defense posture of individual countries but also contribute to regional stability. Enhanced security cooperation could also address non-traditional security threats, such as cyber-attacks and terrorism, which require coordinated international responses.

The Chinese spokesperson’s remarks pointed towards a broader vision for international relations, advocating for concrete steps to improve the global situation. According to China, this would involve moving away from antagonistic policies and towards more cooperative and constructive engagements. This call for cooperation highlights the contrasting perspectives between NATO’s current strategy and China’s advocated approach. Despite the tensions, there remains a possibility for dialogue and cooperation. Issues such as climate change, global health, and economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic require collaborative efforts from all major powers.

If NATO and China can find common ground on these issues, it could pave the way for a more stable and cooperative international order.

Among these developments, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan expressed his concerns about the escalating tensions. He noted that any possibility of a direct confrontation between Russia and NATO is deeply troubling. Erdogan’s remarks underscore the delicate balance that must be maintained in international relations to avoid a broader conflict.

As NATO seeks to strengthen its ties with Asian partners, the international community watches closely. The organization’s recent declarations and the subsequent responses from China reflect the complex and evolving dynamics of global geopolitics. While NATO aims to counter China’s influence, voices from both within and outside the alliance call for a more cooperative and peaceful approach to resolving international conflicts. The future of NATO’s relationships with Asian partners and its strategy towards China will undoubtedly have significant implications for global peace and stability.

Eventually, NATO’s efforts to build ties with Asian partners mark a significant shift in international relations, with wide-ranging impacts on economic, political, and security fronts. As the world navigates these changes, the importance of dialogue, cooperation, and mutual understanding cannot be overstated.

The Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan and Its Regional Impact

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In a comprehensive report by the United Nations monitoring team, the outlawed Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) has been designated as the most significant terrorist group operating within Afghanistan.

In a comprehensive report by the United Nations monitoring team, the outlawed Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) has been designated as the most significant terrorist group operating within Afghanistan. This report brings to light the expanding influence and operational capabilities of the TTP, largely attributed to increased support from the Afghan Taliban and factions of Al-Qaeda.

The UN report highlights that the TTP has received considerable operational and logistical backing from the Afghan Taliban. This support has been pivotal in enhancing the TTP’s capabilities, allowing them to sustain and even expand their operations within Afghanistan and beyond. The symbiotic relationship between the Afghan Taliban and the TTP is particularly concerning, as it indicates a mutual benefit derived from their collaboration. The Afghan Taliban’s reluctance or inability to dismantle the TTP’s presence underscores the complexity of their relationship and the challenges in combating terrorism in the region.

The report estimates that the TTP commands a formidable force of 6,000 to 6,500 fighters within Afghanistan. Despite their significant presence and the threat they pose, the Afghan Taliban do not categorize the TTP as a terrorist organization. Instead, they maintain close ties with the group, facilitating its operations within Afghanistan and across the border into Pakistan.

This relationship allows TTP fighters to use Afghan territory as a staging ground for terrorist activities aimed at destabilizing Pakistan.

A particularly troubling aspect of the UN report is the documented increase in the number of attacks carried out by the TTP against Pakistan. The group has been effectively recruiting and utilizing Afghan nationals to execute these operations, thereby intensifying the cross-border terrorist threat. The TTP’s strategy appears to be one of gradual escalation, steadily increasing the frequency and intensity of their assaults on Pakistani targets. This pattern of increased aggression not only threatens the security of Pakistan but also destabilizes the broader region.

Further exacerbating the threat is the collaboration between the TTP and Al-Qaeda. The report reveals that TTP operatives are being trained in Al-Qaeda camps, alongside local fighters. This training alliance enhances the operational proficiency of TTP fighters and underscores the deepening ties between these terrorist organizations. The shared training and resources between the TTP and Al-Qaeda signal a significant threat, as it combines the strengths and capabilities of both groups, making them more formidable adversaries.

The resurgence of the TTP, with the backing of the Afghan Taliban and Al-Qaeda, poses a severe threat to Pakistan’s security and stability. The increased frequency of cross-border attacks has strained Pakistan’s security apparatus, forcing the country to allocate more resources to counter-terrorism operations. This constant state of vigilance has significant economic and social costs, as it diverts resources from other critical areas such as development and education. Moreover, the persistent threat from the TTP complicates Pakistan’s relations with Afghanistan. The inability of the Afghan Taliban to curb the TTP’s activities raises questions about their commitment to regional stability and their role in harboring terrorists.

This situation exacerbates existing tensions and undermines efforts to foster cooperation between the two countries.

The implications of the TTP’s activities extend beyond Pakistan and Afghanistan, affecting the broader South Asian region. The instability in Pakistan has the potential to spill over into neighboring countries, creating a ripple effect that undermines regional security. Countries in the region are forced to contend with the threat of terrorism, which can disrupt trade, investment, and economic growth. Additionally, the TTP’s resurgence has implications for international efforts to combat terrorism. The deepening ties between the TTP and Al-Qaeda highlight the evolving nature of terrorist networks and the need for a coordinated, global response. The international community must recognize the interconnectedness of these threats and work together to address the root causes of terrorism, such as poverty, lack of education, and political instability.

The UN report paints a concerning picture of the evolving terrorist landscape in Afghanistan. The TTP’s resurgence, bolstered by the Afghan Taliban and Al-Qaeda, poses a significant threat not only to Pakistan but to regional stability. The inability or unwillingness of the Afghan Taliban to confront the TTP underlines the complex and intertwined relationships that challenge counter-terrorism efforts in the region. As the TTP continues to grow in strength and capability, it remains imperative for regional and international stakeholders to address this threat comprehensively. The report serves as a stark reminder of the persistent and evolving nature of terrorism in South Asia and the urgent need for coordinated efforts to mitigate its impact. The future stability of the region depends on the ability of nations to work together, sharing intelligence, resources, and strategies to combat the threat posed by groups like the TTP.

Under the Arabian Sky: The Diplomatic Symphony of Doha Talks III

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Doha Talks III

The third meeting in the series of UN-led meetings concerning the interaction of the Taliban regime with the international community and its potential integration into the global system was held in Doha on 30th June and 1st July 2024, respectively. The conference, referred to as ‘Doha Talks III’ was attended by special representatives to Afghanistan including Pakistani and Indian diplomats. In addition, this marked the first time the Taliban regime interacted with the global world as a part of this conference, where they were not invited to the table in the first talk, held in May 2023, and boycotted the second, held in February 2024.

It is important to note the circumstances under which the Taliban regime was coaxed enough to engage with the international community on a diplomatic front.

The Taliban were clever enough to set up terms and conditions to attend and participate in the conference, among which one of the prominent conditions was no discussion on the human rights issues in Afghanistan, which encompasses the rights of women and young girls such as provision to education, freedom to work and access to the necessities of life.

It is also worth noting that the element of the security situation of Afghanistan was absent from the official agenda of the conference. The agenda of the conference primarily focused on the progress of anti-narcotics in the country, the discussion of alternatives to poppy cultivation, and very rarely, climate change, in context to the immeasurable damage natural disasters such as floods and earthquakes have caused the country in the last decade.

Apart from being a vocal critic of the Afghan regime for providing safe havens for terrorism, Pakistan flexed her diplomatic muscles on this very tour, where Pakistan’s special representative for the Afghan talks Asif Durrani, invited the chief Taliban spokesperson Zabiullah Mujahid for a dinner at the Pakistan house, hosted on the sidelines of the main Doha talks. This dinner is ascribed to a wide spectrum of discussions focusing on building relations and easing tensions between the two neighbors. Tensions between the two states have been building highly at risk ever since the American withdrawal in late 2021 and Islamabad stipulating the option of cross-border strikes at TTP hideouts in the country following a resurgence in terrorism.

The Afghan delegation was assured of the fact that there was no issue between the neighbors, except that the TTP continues to carry out cross-border terrorism and seek safe havens on the other side of the Durand line and IS-KP, rendered as a common threat to both neighbors. Ambassador Durrani reassured the opening of new avenues in terms of trade and commerce for the country, and advocacy for the resolution financial crises in Afghanistan if these issues are curbed by the Taliban regime. On the prevailing stance of the Pakistani government against the TTP, pressurizing the Afghan regime, this diplomatic dining initiative promulgated in Qatar seems to ease the eyes from which both countries view each other and has the potential of transforming this dispute, from a destructive towards a more constructive and optimistic approach.

The issue of Afghan refugees remained of secondary importance, and the Ambassador urged the sponsor countries which were mainly Western to expedite their processes of granting the the Afghan citizenship as pledged.

However, the opportunity presented to Pakistan’s arch nemesis, in these UN-led meetings provided multiple opportunities to tighten the soft power grip the Modi regime has been spreading over the last 3 terms and ensure their economic investment. India has invested more than $3 Billion in Afghanistan over the period, which includes utility and transport projects, among which the construction of the Shahtoot dam is of extreme prominence because it will reduce the flow of the Kabul River in Pakistan Kautilian neighbors and economic concerns aside, India’s security concerns regarding influence in the region are also one of the reasons that prompted it to participate in the Doha talks, where it ensured the advocacy of human rights towards the Afghanistan regime.

Looking at it from a birds-eye view, 16 countries have established their embassies in Afghanistan, and the main problem that stops the countries from recognizing the Taliban regime is the inclusivity and human rights of the people, which has been labeled by human rights organizations as an absolute gender apartheid deducing primarily be one of the reasons why the funds for the government are not being unfrozen despite persistent advocacy from neighboring states.

For the Taliban however, this conference can be perceived as a constructive approach. Firstly, it was the first occasion on which they displayed their diplomatic intellect, and according to Western diplomats, they were diplomatically very mature which promised new avenues of cooperation for the states in the region.

The Doha Talks being in this constructive phase has the potential to shape the future of the entire region, as Afghanistan plays an effective role concerning peace and stability towards its neighbours.

French Elections : Political Instability

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Political Instability

The second round of parliamentary elections held in France on July 7 plunged the country into a serious phase of political instability because neither the left-wing coalition led by socialists won a majority, nor President Emmanuel Macron’s alliance nor the far right RN led by Marine Le Pen could claim victory. Contrary to expectation, RN failed to win parliamentary polls and got third position.

When the French President announced snap parliamentary elections for electing a 577-seat parliament, it was projected that Le Pen’s National Rally would gain a majority in the June 30 polls. But no political party emerged victories and the second round of elections took place on July 7 in which the New Popular Front (NFP) which was formed in haste to stop RN from coming into power emerged as the single largest block. Composed of heterogeneous political groups ranging from far left to communists, socialists, and greens, NPF along with President Macron’s Ensemble, managed to defeat RN. It means RN, which is known for its anti-immigration and adhering to far-right ideology may not be able to win the 2027 presidential elections.

The left who had clinched it, and Emmanuel Macron’s centrists had staged an unexpected comeback, pushing the far-right National Rally (RN) into third.

What are the implications of the crushing defeat of far-right RN and how the NFP will be able to form a government on its own or will go for power sharing with Macron’s centrist Ensemble will be judged in the coming days. The loss of RN and its number third position in the July 7 elections reflects the efforts of President Emmanuel to prevent the far right from coming into power and yielded positive results. Immediately after the announcement of election results the potential Prime Minister and leader of NEP Jean-Luc Melenchon called on French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal to resign as he claimed that the left-wing coalition was in a position to form the government on its own.

There was a high turnout of 61.4% in the second round of elections held on July 7 which sealed the faith of ultra-right RN paving the way for left-wing and centrist candidates belonging to NFP and Ensemble to prevent far-right RN gain a majority. It is also possible that current Prime Minister Gabriel Attal will try to form a minority government by reaching an alliance with Macron’s Ensemble to stop the left-wing coalition NFP from coming to power. Whatever, will be the outcome of power squabbling in France following the July 7 elections and the emergence of a hung parliament, France will pass through an era of political instability particularly when Europe is passing through a crucial phase.

If a hung parliament is the future of French democracy with diverse coalition groups struggling to gain power, the election results of July 7 surprised many. According to BBC in its commentary “What just happened in France’s shock elections?” by Paul Kirby on July 8, “Nobody expected this. High drama, for sure, but this was a shock.  When the graphics flashed up on all the big French channels, it was not the far right of Marine Le Pen and her young prime minister-in-waiting Jordan Bardella who were on course for victory. It was the left who had clinched it, and Emmanuel Macron’s centrists had staged an unexpected comeback, pushing the far-right National Rally (RN) into third.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon, the veteran left-wing firebrand seen by his critics as an extremist, wasted no time in proclaiming victory. “The president must call on the New Popular Front to govern,” he told supporters in Stalingrad square, insisting Mr. Macron had to recognize that he and his coalition had lost. His alliance, drawn up in a hurry for President Macron’s surprise election, includes his own radical France Unbowed, along with Greens, Socialists and Communists, and even Trotskyists. But their victory is nowhere big enough to govern”.

A stable government in France to deal with issues of inflation, unemployment, pensioners and immigration is a major predicament for the future government. By not seeking a majority in the 577-seat parliament, it will be an uphill task for the French President to enable his country to play a leadership role in the European Union, NATO, the war in Ukraine, and the armed conflict in Gaza. Certainly, with more than 15% of its population composed of immigrants, coming into power with Le Pen’s far-right RN would have been a nightmare and plunged Europe’s leading democracy into a perpetual state of crisis, conflict, and hostility.

The president must call on the New Popular Front to govern, declared Jean-Luc Mélenchon.

The far-right wave which has succeeded in gaining power in Hungary, Italy, and the Netherlands would have got an impetus had it won July 7 parliamentary elections in France. Far-right anti-immigrant parties like AfD (Alternate for Deutschland) and Swiss People’s Party, Swedes Democrats, Austria’s Freedom Party and Finns Party are trying to get political space by targeting immigrants, rising cost of living, raising slogans of Islam phobia and unemployment.

In the recently held elections of the European parliament, the far-right European People’s Party emerged as the single largest bloc reflecting the surge of the far-right wave in Europe. According to a report by Al-Jazeera entitled, “European Parliament at crossroads as right-wing parties triumph in EU vote” on June 12, 2024, “The ground beneath the feet of European Union leaders has shifted after voting across the 27-member bloc delivered a clear turn to the right in the European Parliament, shaking up governments in member states and leaving mainstream groups at a crossroads.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen claimed victory after her center-right European People’s Party (EPP) maintained the most seats of any single group in the legislative body. It scored a clear victory in the elections, tightening its influence in the European Parliament with 185 of its 720 seats”. It was the surge of far-right groups in European parliament elections that prompted French President Macron to announce snap national polls. According to Reuters in its report, “Far-right advances in EU election, France calls the snap national vote” of June 10, 2024: “While the center, liberal and Socialist parties were set to retain a majority in the 720-seat parliament.

The vote dealt a domestic blow to the leaders of both France and Germany, raising questions about how the European Union’s major powers can drive policy in the bloc. A rightwards shift inside the European Parliament may make it tougher to pass new legislation that might be needed to respond to security challenges, the impact of climate change, or industrial competition from China and the United States”.

One can gauge three major implications of the far-right debacle in recently held French parliamentary elections. First, it is the ideology of democracy that has enabled anti-far-right groups in Europe to unite and defeat the forces of retrogression, hate, and intolerance. The French election results prove that if anti-far-right forces are united the future of democracy can be secure. Likewise, the surge of far-right AfD in Germany and its entry into the European parliament is a source of alarm for those who fear the rise of neo-Nazis.

There can be an analogy in combating ultra-far right in Europe and India. For example, the Hindu nationalist BJP which won only 2 seats in the 1984 October Lok Sabah (lower house) elections of the Indian parliament secured 303 seats in the 2019 elections. It was only after the realization by secular and democratic parties that only by uniting they can defeat the ultra-right BJP that they deprived that party of gaining a two-thirds majority in the 2024 Indian elections. Second, even after losing RN will not give up its efforts to gain power in France. Its nexus with other ultra-right parties in Europe and its presence in the European parliament will certainly keep its deterrent for the democratic and liberal forces of Europe.

It means that unless the issues that led to the surge of ultra-right are seriously dealt with, threats to democracy, enlightenment, and tolerance will remain.

Even after losing in France, ultra-right wing ideology will not recede because it sees anger and antagonism, particularly among youths of Europe as an opportunity to strengthen their network to augment their drive against immigrants. Finally, it depends on the power, capability, and capacity of countering ultra-right-wing forces not only in the West but elsewhere to reverse the process of hate, intolerance, and violence. The role of a vibrant civil society and those who are enlightened to prevent fascist and violent forces from taking power is essential. In its essence, the anti-BJP political parties under the banner of INDIA (Indian National Development Inclusive Alliance) are a vivid example to prove that once they are united, ultra-right wing forces, who have an agenda composed of retrogression and intolerance can be defeated.

India’s Deceptive Strategies

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In the complex geopolitical landscape of South Asia, the Afghan Interim Government must reassess its perception of India.

In the complex geopolitical landscape of South Asia, the Afghan Interim Government must reassess its perception of India. The notion that India is a friend of Afghanistan is a dangerous misconception. India’s historical and current policies clearly illustrate a pattern of deceit and hostility towards Muslims and specifically, Afghan Pashtuns.

India’s internal policies and cultural outputs reflect deep-seated anti-Muslim sentiments. Films such as “Padmaavat” and “Panipat” portray Afghan Pashtuns as barbaric and treacherous. This portrayal extends beyond cinema, with the Indian film industry routinely depicting Muslims as criminals, drug dealers, and terrorists. This deliberate misrepresentation is part of a broader agenda to foster hatred and prejudice against Afghan Pashtuns globally. The impact of these portrayals on the global audience cannot be understated. They perpetuate stereotypes and reinforce negative perceptions of Muslims and Pashtuns, painting them as enemies of humanity. This cultural strategy aligns with India’s broader political objective to marginalize Muslim communities and undermine their credibility on the international stage. By shaping public perception through media, India ensures that its anti-Muslim narrative gains traction and support, both domestically and internationally.

The plight of Afghan refugees in India further underscores India’s duplicitous nature. Among the 21,000 Afghan refugees in India, 11,000 are seeking asylum but have not been granted official refugee status. This lack of recognition leaves refugees in a state of limbo, unable to access basic rights and services. Their uncertain status reflects India’s unwillingness to provide genuine support and protection to those fleeing conflict and persecution. Additionally, India’s recent cancellation of visas for 2,500 Afghan students has left their futures uncertain. This act of betrayal undermines trust and disrupts the educational pursuits of Afghan youth.

By expelling Afghan students from universities under the guise of administrative reasons, India betrays the fundamental principles of international cooperation and educational exchange. This move not only affects the individual students but also damages the bilateral relationship between the two countries.

India’s involvement in Afghanistan is not limited to cultural and political undermining. By supporting terrorist organizations like ISKP and TTP, India has sown unrest and instability in Afghanistan. These groups, funded and guided by India, target China’s interests in South and Central Asia, operating under a unified agenda against Afghan interests. ISKP leader Abdul Rahim Muslim Dost’s connections with India highlight this disturbing collaboration, revealing India as a key player in perpetuating violence in the region. The strategic use of these terrorist organizations serves multiple purposes for India. It creates chaos and instability in Afghanistan, weakening the Afghan government and making it more susceptible to Indian influence. Moreover, it allows India to counter Chinese influence in the region, aligning with broader geopolitical strategies. This manipulation of terrorist groups illustrates India’s willingness to exploit regional conflicts for its gain, regardless of the human cost.

India’s alliance with Israel further reveals its anti-Muslim stance. Since establishing military ties in the 1960s, India has been a steadfast supporter of Israel’s actions against Palestinians. Recent shipments of 27 tons of lethal ammunition from India to Israel, alongside joint ventures like the production of HERMES900 drones used against Palestinian Muslims, highlight this unholy alliance. The replacement of Palestinian workers with Indian laborers after the October 7 attacks exemplifies India’s willingness to contribute to Palestinian suffering for economic gain. This collaboration extends beyond military support. It represents a shared ideological commitment to marginalizing and oppressing Muslim populations. The historical and ongoing support for Israeli actions against Palestinians underscores India’s alignment with policies that directly harm Muslim communities.

By participating in and supporting Israel’s military endeavors, India positions itself as a complicit actor in the ongoing conflict in Palestine, revealing its true stance towards Muslims globally.

The Modi government’s policies have exacerbated the suffering of Muslims in illegally occupied Kashmir. Over the last decade, India has imported military equipment worth $2.9 billion from Israel, using these resources to oppress Kashmiri Muslims. This military collaboration underscores the shared objectives of India and Israel against Muslim populations. The use of advanced military technology against civilians in Kashmir illustrates the extent of India’s oppressive policies. These actions are not isolated incidents but part of a systematic approach to control and subjugate the Muslim population in the region. The use of Israeli weaponry, known for its effectiveness in urban warfare, against unarmed civilians highlights the brutal nature of India’s occupation and its disregard for human rights.

Under the guise of promoting religious diversity, India has built Hindu temples in the United Arab Emirates, Oman, and Bahrain. This move, however, masks a deeper agenda of eroding Islamic cultural and social roots, undermining the religious and cultural integrity of Muslim communities. By establishing these temples, India seeks to project an image of religious tolerance while simultaneously undermining the foundations of Muslim-majority societies. This strategy of cultural infiltration is part of a broader plan to diminish the influence of Islam in the region. By promoting Hinduism in Muslim countries, India aims to create divisions and weaken the unity of Muslim communities.

This cultural imperialism is a subtle yet effective way to exert influence and control over the region, furthering India’s geopolitical objectives.

Given these realities, the Afghan Interim Government must acknowledge that India is neither a friend nor a trustworthy ally. India’s consistent betrayal and subversive activities necessitate a complete severance of ties. Afghanistan should take decisive action against terrorist organizations funded by India, expelling them from Afghan soil. Cooperation with Pakistan to eradicate these groups is crucial for regional stability and peace. By focusing on economic prosperity and regional harmony, Afghanistan can uphold the true spirit of Islam, protecting its people and fostering a future of peace and development. The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan must recognize that India’s friendship is a facade, and its true intentions are detrimental to Afghan sovereignty and Muslim unity. The Afghan Interim Government should act swiftly to safeguard its interests and ensure the well-being of its people, free from the deceptive influence of India.

From Economic Stability to Political Uncertainty

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After a prolonged period of turmoil, Pakistan finally began to witness signs of economic stability.

After a prolonged period of turmoil, Pakistan finally began to witness signs of economic stability. The government’s significant achievement in curbing the dollar’s rising price, bringing it down from 320 rupees per dollar to 278 rupees per dollar, marked a turning point. This reduction resulted in a record decrease in the inflation rate, offering some relief to the struggling economy. The Shehbaz government worked tirelessly to present a challenging budget that, while unpopular among the public, gained favor with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Given Pakistan’s long-standing poor economic conditions, the budget included additional taxes to secure an IMF loan to help pay off the country’s debts.

During this period of apparent stability, Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar played a pivotal role in bolstering Pakistan’s foreign relations. His relentless efforts led to an increase in international engagements, with world leaders visiting Pakistan and agreeing to enhance bilateral trade to a record two billion dollars annually. The country seemed poised for a brighter future with these positive developments.

The government’s ability to stabilize the currency and reduce inflation was a testament to its effective economic policies and commitment to improving the country’s financial health.

However, this budding stability was abruptly disrupted by a decision from the Supreme Court, which sent shockwaves throughout the nation. The decision led to the emergence of Tehreek-e-Insaaf (PTI) as the largest political party under the Sunni Ittehad Council, securing 120 seats in parliament. Meanwhile, the ruling party, PML-N, maintained 180 seats, relying on the support of allied parties like the People’s Party and MQM to sustain the government. Consequently, the PML-N found itself needing to collaborate closely with these allies for major decisions, further complicating the political landscape. This sudden shift in the political dynamics threatened to unravel the hard-won economic gains and introduce a new wave of uncertainty.

The newfound political strength of Tehreek-e-Insaaf introduced a new wave of political instability. The party, under its founder’s leadership, vowed to obstruct parliamentary proceedings and hinder the government’s efforts to achieve political and economic stability. This looming threat of political unrest posed significant challenges for Pakistan’s fragile economy. The PTI’s strategy seemed focused on creating an environment of disruption, making it difficult for the government to implement its policies and maintain the economic stability it had worked so hard to achieve.

During this political chaos, the Pakistan Army and the government initiated an operation to combat the resurgence of terrorism. Terrorists, previously expelled by the Pakistan Army at the cost of thousands of soldiers’ lives, had returned from Afghanistan and resumed their activities, including terrorism and extortion across the country. These acts, often perceived as tools of foreign powers, targeted citizens of friendly nations like China and Japan, aiming to disrupt even the minimal investment flowing into Pakistan. In response to the escalating threat, friendly countries warned Pakistan of potential investment withdrawal if terrorism persisted.

The re-emergence of terrorism posed a significant threat not only to national security but also to the economic recovery efforts that were underway.

In light of the grave situation, the Pakistan Army and government launched Operation to eradicate terrorism. However, Tehreek-e-Insaaf openly opposed the operation, attempting to incite internal instability. The opposition’s efforts to undermine the operation hinted at potential unseen forces influencing the situation. The ensuing political and economic instability threatened to burden the Pakistani people further, with inflation likely to rise as a consequence. The opposition’s stance against the anti-terrorism operation was seen as an attempt to leverage the security situation for political gains, further exacerbating the instability.

The current scenario reflects a tug-of-war between two major power circles within Pakistan: one striving for stability and the other fomenting instability. The people of Pakistan, already weary from enduring inflation and economic hardship, now face additional uncertainty. There is an urgent need for unity and collaboration among the powerful factions to prioritize the country’s economic stability and alleviate the burdens on its citizens.

The ongoing political conflict has significant implications for the nation’s future, as the continuous instability hampers efforts to attract foreign investment and improve the overall economic situation.

Lastly, Pakistan stands at a critical juncture where political and economic stability hangs in the balance. The path forward requires concerted efforts from all political entities to work together for the greater good, ensuring a stable and prosperous future for the nation. The people’s plea is clear: they can no longer bear the burden of instability and inflation, and it is time for the country’s leaders to act with responsibility and foresight. The challenges are immense, but with a unified approach and a focus on long-term stability, Pakistan can overcome these obstacles and pave the way for a brighter future for all its citizens.

US Reaffirms Commitment to Pakistan’s Anti-Terror Efforts

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TTP

[Islamabad] The United States acknowledges that terrorism has caused tremendous suffering for the people of Pakistan.

During a press briefing at the US State Department in Washington on Monday, spokesperson Matthew Miller was asked whether the US supports Pakistan’s actions against terrorist groups like the banned Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) in Afghanistan.

“Pakistan and the US share a mutual interest in addressing threats to regional security, we collaborate with various Pakistani civilian entities and maintain regular communication with the Government of Pakistan to explore opportunities for enhancing regional security and building capacity, particularly in counter-terrorism efforts,” he stated, highlighting “the importance of annual high-level dialogues”.

The United States acknowledges the significant impact of terrorism on Pakistan and supports Pakistan’s counterterrorism efforts. This collaboration involves regular communication and high-level dialogues between US and Pakistani officials to enhance regional security.

Earlier, Pakistan’s Defense Minister, Khawaja Muhammad Asif, said in an interview that “Pakistan will continue to conduct operations against targets in Afghanistan as part of a new military campaign aimed at combating terrorism”.

Asif clarified that “the airstrikes are directed at groups that Pakistan alleges have been attacking its security forces and civilians.”

Pakistan has continuously accused the Taliban of providing sanctuary to the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) in Afghanistan. However, the Taliban maintains that the TTP issue is Pakistan’s internal matter and does not fall under their purview.

Meanwhile, according to the latest report released by the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) Islamabad, during the second quarter of 2024, at least 380 people, including civilians and security personnel, were killed and 220 injured in 240 terrorist incidents and operations in Pakistan.

The report highlighted that Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan provinces were the primary centers of these violent incidents, accounting for about 92 percent of deaths and 87 percent of terrorist acts during this period.

The report also noted a decrease in violence and death rates across the country in the second quarter, with overall violence dropping by 12 percent. There were 380 deaths recorded in the second quarter compared to 432 in the first quarter. Police and army personnel were often the targets of terrorist attacks. Among the police casualties, two DSPs and 31 other policemen lost their lives.

According to the report, during the second quarter of this year, approximately 65 soldiers, including an army captain, were killed. Additionally, a former brigadier was also killed in an attack by unknown assailants.

Released concurrently with Pakistan’s ‘Resolve for Stability’ military operation, this study aims to reinforce Pakistan’s counterterrorism endeavors in reaction to a surge in militant activity.

Experts say that militant organizations continue to operate in the tribal areas adjacent to Afghanistan.

Even if the new counterterrorism operation manages to neutralize the banned Tehreek e Taliban Pakistan’s threat, Pakistan will continue to grapple with significant security challenges from multiple fronts.

Baloch separatist groups, primarily based in Iran, also pose a persistent threat due to their longstanding grievances and sporadic attacks on Pakistani security forces and infrastructure in Balochistan.

These groups often benefit from external support and sanctuary across the border, complicating Pakistan’s efforts to contain their activities.

Pakistan has initiated a new military campaign, “Resolve for Stability,” targeting terrorist groups, particularly the TTP, operating from Afghanistan. This move is partly driven by concerns from Beijing regarding the safety of Chinese nationals working on the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) projects.

Additionally, the Islamic State of Khorasan (IS-K), with its network entrenched in Afghanistan and extending into Central Asia, remains a formidable adversary.

IS-K has demonstrated its ability to carry out deadly attacks targeting civilians and security forces alike, contributing to instability in the region.

Despite setbacks in Afghanistan, the Islamic State of Khorasan (ISK) retains a presence and continues to exploit local grievances and ethnic tensions to further its extremist agenda, posing a significant threat to regional stability.

Therefore, while addressing the TTP threat is crucial, Pakistan’s security landscape remains complex and multifaceted, requiring sustained efforts to mitigate the influence and operations of Baloch separatist groups and IS-K across its borders.

Pakistan has recently launched a renewed military operation named “Resolve for Stability” aimed at curbing escalating violence and terrorist attacks, primarily focusing on groups operating within Pakistan.

Islamabad-based sources claim that the new operation was launched under pressure from Beijing.

This pressure stems from Beijing’s concerns about the safety of its 29,000 citizens in Pakistan, including 2,500 individuals working on projects related to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a crucial part of Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative.

Attacks on Chinese workers in Pakistan have highlighted significant security risks.

These incidents, including targeted killings and bombings, reflect challenges related to economic projects and concerns over Chinese influence.

In March 2024, five Chinese engineers were killed when a suicide bomber targeted a convoy of Chinese engineers working on a hydropower project in northwest Pakistan.

Islamabad claimed that the attack was orchestrated from neighboring Afghanistan and that the suicide bomber was an Afghan national.

Tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan have been escalating since the Taliban regained control of Afghanistan in 2021. Pakistan claims that a faction of the Taliban, specifically the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), has safe havens in Afghanistan.

Relations between both neighboring countries further escalated in March 2024, when Pakistan conducted airstrikes on Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) targets in Afghanistan.

This action followed attacks in Pakistan’s Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, where seven Pakistani soldiers were killed. The strikes targeted several suspected TTP hideouts.

Pakistan’s security challenges are multifaceted, with threats from various militant groups, including the TTP, Baloch separatist groups, and the Islamic State of Khorasan (IS-K). Despite efforts to neutralize these threats, the security situation remains complicated due to external support and cross-border sanctuaries.

Despite assurances from the Taliban administration in Kabul that they would not permit the TTP or any militant group to launch attacks from Afghan territory against Pakistan or any other country, the TTP has continued to carry out multiple attacks inside Pakistan in recent years.

These incidents have strained relations between Islamabad and the Afghan Taliban government.

In a recent media talk, Foreign Office Spokesperson Mumtaz Zahra Baloch addressed the ongoing tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan.

She stated that “Afghanistan has given assurances that its soil will not be used against any country, including Pakistan”.

Baloch emphasized the importance of Afghanistan acting upon these assurances, stressing that Afghan territory should not be utilized for terrorist activities targeting any country, including Pakistan.