In recent years, the world has seen a rapid shift in power dynamics with a resurgence of two formidable forces in the international scene, namely China and Russia. In the current global political discourse, there are arguments in favor of a Sino-Russian-led world order as a more democratic and peaceful alternative to the US-dominated hegemony. But the question remains: Is this perceived Sino-Russian-led world order indeed a better choice for the globe?
An important question that underpins this debate is the inherent difference in Chinese and Russian views on the global order and governance. While they are seen by many as allies working towards a shared goal, their fundamental outlooks vary, which can influence their approach to shaping the world order.
China, a prime beneficiary of the post-Cold War order, has shown a vested interest in maintaining international institutions and processes, even as it seeks to turn them to its advantage.
This approach of ‘working within the system’ indicates a willingness to uphold certain facets of the current global order while seeking to influence its trajectory.
In contrast, Russia often operates on the principle of circumventing the system, implying that it may prefer a certain amount of disorder or disruption in the existing world order.
This is reflective of a divergent approach and poses potential challenges in harmonizing a Sino-Russian-led global order.
Furthermore, despite appearances of Sino-Russian solidarity, there is evidence suggesting that the two countries pursue separate agendas with little or no reference to each other. Their collaboration is visible in international bodies such as the UN Security Council, where they frequently coordinate their voting, particularly in vetoing Western-sponsored resolutions. However, their independent policy pursuits indicate that their alliance may be more rooted in strategic convenience than in a shared vision for a new world order.
Delving into the implications of a Sino-Russian-led world order, we must consider a number of factors. Firstly, global peace and democracy are areas of concern. Both China and Russia have faced international criticism over their domestic human rights records and attitudes towards democratic norms. This raises questions about how these issues might be reflected and potentially magnified on a global scale under their leadership.
Secondly, a Sino-Russian-led world order might replace one form of hegemony with another. Instead of a US-dominated order, the world could find itself grappling with a new hegemony led by China and Russia. This change does not necessarily signify a more democratic or peaceful global system, but instead underscores the need for a diverse, equitable, and inclusive world order.
Thirdly, economic implications cannot be overlooked. With China being the world’s second-largest economy and Russia possessing abundant natural resources, their leadership could drastically shift the global economic balance. However, concerns about market access, fair trade, and respect for intellectual property rights, especially considering China’s controversial practices in these areas, would likely intensify.
Finally, the proposition of a Sino-Russian-led world order could significantly affect global geopolitics. Western nations might respond by strengthening their alliances and partnerships to counterbalance this emerging power structure. For instance, the idea of seeking an accommodation with Moscow to weaken the Sino-Russian partnership has already been suggested.
While it is undeniably the case that the global order must evolve to reflect the changing dynamics of power, the nature of this evolution is crucial.
It’s pertinent to remember that the key pillars of a global order should ideally include respect for sovereignty, adherence to international law, upholding human rights, and promoting economic development and stability.
The assertion of a Sino-Russian-led world order prompts questions about these pillars. Would this new order prioritize these principles? Or would it propagate a different set of values altogether? If so, what would be the impact on the world’s nations, particularly those that have for decades operated under a different system?
Finally, while a Sino-Russian-led world order might seem a tantalizing proposition to some, it’s clear that it raises just as many questions as it provides answers. The better choice for the globe may not be about choosing between US-led or Sino-Russian-led orders, but about creating a more inclusive, fair, and equitable world order that respects diversity and ensures peace and prosperity for all.
Research Scholar and Academic; Ph.D. in Political Science at the University of Pisa, Italy. Dr. Usman has participated in various national and international conferences and published 30 research articles in international journals.