In recent decades, global political and military landscapes have witnessed significant shifts. Various longstanding conflicts are approaching their decisive ends, with both sides of warring groups threatening nuclear destruction. It’s vital to examine the intricate dynamics shaping the “New World Order” and examine its implications for global power structures, particularly in relation to Pakistan, China, and the United States.
One cannot overlook the significance of Gwadar, a port city in Pakistan, in the context of global power struggles. For over a century and a half, the world’s powers have coveted Gwadar due to its strategic location. The port plays a crucial role in the geopolitical strategies of major powers, especially China. China’s interest in Gwadar is part of a broader strategy to secure trade routes and reduce transportation costs. The port serves as a vital link for China’s trade with Europe, Africa, and the Middle East, and it significantly cuts down the distance for transporting crude oil and natural gas from the Arabian Sea to Kashgar.
This strategic positioning ensures China’s reduced dependency on longer, more vulnerable routes, thus bolstering its economic and military strength.
The concept of a “New World Order” gained prominence in the 1980s when the Soviet Union collapsed, leaving the United States as the sole superpower. During this period, China was still lagging behind the US in political, technological, military, and economic arenas. It was then that President Reagan declared the ambition to establish a New World Order and envisioned future wars being fought from space—a claim that eventually fizzled out. In those years, the US aimed to dominate the world economy and military for the next century, keeping oil and gas-producing countries under control and preventing the resurgence of Russia and the rise of China. This vision was encapsulated in the “Project for a New American Century,” which sought to cement US supremacy in the 21st century. This ambitious project aimed to reshape global politics in favor of the United States, ensuring its dominance in every aspect of international affairs.
By 2014, the geopolitical landscape had shifted dramatically. China and Russia began to challenge US dominance. China’s strategic moves in the South China Sea and Russia’s assertive actions in Syria marked the decline of unquestioned US supremacy. New conflicts, such as those in Ukraine and the South China Sea, further complicated the global power dynamics. China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), with the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) as a flagship project, aimed to enhance connectivity and cooperation across Asia. However, internal and external challenges impeded the progress of CPEC.
The US, seeking to counter China’s influence, found allies within Pakistan’s establishment, leading to disruptions in CPEC’s implementation.
The competition between these global powers reflects broader strategic interests. China’s investments in infrastructure projects like CPEC are designed to create new trade routes, reducing reliance on traditional maritime paths that are susceptible to disruption by the US and its allies. On the other hand, the US has been keen to limit China’s growing influence by supporting opposition within Pakistan and strengthening ties with India, a regional rival of China.
The political landscape in Pakistan also played a crucial role in shaping the future of CPEC. Military and political leaders such as General Raheel Sharif and General Qamar Javed Bajwa faced significant pressures and challenges in balancing national interests with external influences. The appointment of General Asim Munir marked a potential turning point, with hopes for a renewed focus on CPEC and strengthened Sino-Pakistani relations. Pakistan’s internal dynamics have often influenced its foreign policy decisions. The complex relationship between civilian governments and the military has led to shifts in how Pakistan aligns itself with major powers. The fluctuating support for CPEC within Pakistan reflects these internal struggles, where different factions vie for control and influence over the country’s strategic direction.
Over the years, the United States faced successive setbacks in its attempts to maintain global dominance. The rise of China and Russia, coupled with persistent conflicts in various regions, eroded US influence. The formation of alliances such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and BRICS signaled a shift towards a multipolar world order. China’s pragmatic approach to winning skirmishes and Russia’s willingness to use nuclear weapons highlighted the diminishing effectiveness of US strategies.
The SCO’s agenda of combating terrorism and establishing peace underscores the collaborative efforts of emerging powers to reshape global order.
The changing dynamics are evident in various global conflicts. In the South China Sea, China’s assertive claims and construction of artificial islands have led to heightened tensions with neighboring countries and the US. Meanwhile, Russia’s involvement in Ukraine and Syria has demonstrated its willingness to challenge US influence directly. These actions have showcased the growing confidence of these nations in asserting their power on the global stage.
The current geopolitical climate suggests that the era of unchallenged American dominance is coming to an end. The rise of China and Russia, along with the emergence of new alliances, indicates a transition towards a more balanced distribution of global power. This shift has significant implications for international relations and global stability. The SCO and BRICS represent efforts by emerging powers to create alternative institutions that can counterbalance Western-dominated organizations like NATO and the IMF.
These groups aim to promote economic cooperation, security collaboration, and political dialogue among member states, offering a platform for non-Western countries to assert their interests collectively.
The new world order that is taking shape is characterized by a multipolar structure where no single nation can claim absolute dominance. This could lead to a more stable global environment, provided that major powers can navigate their differences and find common ground on issues like trade, security, and environmental sustainability.
The concept of the “New World Order” has evolved significantly since its inception in the late 20th century. Today, the world stands on the brink of another major transformation. The decline of American hegemony and the rise of China and Russia signal the end of the old order and the beginning of a new one. As global power dynamics continue to shift, the importance of strategic locations like Gwadar and initiatives like CPEC will play a crucial role in shaping the future of international relations. The world watches closely as these developments unfold, heralding a new era in global politics and power structures. The challenge for all nations will be to navigate this complex landscape in a way that promotes peace, stability, and prosperity for all. The emerging multipolar world order offers both opportunities and challenges, requiring careful diplomacy, strategic foresight, and a commitment to international cooperation.
Dr. Zukun Lyu is a research scholar in the Department of Political Science at the University of Siena. She has been to national and international conferences and written 21 research articles that have been published in international journals.